I love the TV show Billions.
I always carve a little time from my work day on Monday afternoons to watch the episode from the night before while I’m doing paperwork at my desk.
When it airs live on Sunday nights, I’m usually worn out from a busy weekend of chasing my kids around, and I’m ready to crash.
So please, no spoilers. I haven’t seen last night’s episode yet!
In case you’re not familiar with the show, Billions tells the story of a complex cat-and-mouse game between a crooked hedge fund billionaire, Bobby Axelrod, and the equally crooked district attorney who’s out to get him, Chuck Rhodes.
It’s a brilliant show, and it’s surprisingly realistic. The writers clearly do their homework and legitimately speak the language of finance.
Perhaps I’m biased because Bobby Axelrod is played by Damian Lewis, a tall, lanky, redheaded actor who looks like he could be my older brother, but I usually root for Axelrod.
But at the end of last season, Axe found himself in a bind. He allowed Rhodes to get under his skin and ended up walking into a trap.
Spoiler Alert: Thinking he was burning Rhodes, Axelrod brutally sabotages the IPO of “Ice Juice,” a fictitious juice bar founded by Rhodes’ best friend, by planting a non-lethal toxin that makes the drinkers violently ill.
When news breaks showing Ice Juice customers vomiting on the floor, the IPO flops. Its investors are sunk.
Axelrod wiped out Rhodes’ trust fund, which was heavily invested in the IPO. But little did he realize that Rhodes had baited him in a complicated (and completely illegal) sting.
Rhodes intentionally let word get out that he was investing in the IPO, fully expecting Axelrod to try to blow it up.
Axelrod couldn’t resist the opportunity to stick a knife in Rhodes and give it a good twist.
And the season ends with Axelrod sitting in a jail cell, with a gloating Rhodes lording over him.
Axelrod weasels out of jail this season, of course.
You can’t really have a show about the wheelings and dealings of high finance when the lead character is sitting in white-collar prison.
But his ego and lack of emotional control cost him dearly. His wife leaves him and takes their children, and his professional reputation is mud.
We can’t take much in the way of trading advice from Billions. If you tried to do half of what Axe and his cronies do in the show, you’d have federal agents in dark suits knocking on your door.
We can, however, walk away with some general principles.
This probably goes without saying, but it’s generally a bad idea to illegally manipulate a stock and force an IPO to fail.
But given that few of us have Bobby Axelrod’s money and power, that’s probably a moot point.
The bigger lesson – and one that’s applicable to us all – is this: When investing, don’t let your emotions get the best of you.
Axelrod let his hatred of Rhodes lead him to take a massive risk that nearly cost him his fortune and his freedom. But you don’t have to go to those extremes to get yourself into trouble.
How many times have you held on to a losing position because you “loved” the stock and got attached to it?
I can tell you that, over the years, I’ve done it more times than I care to remember. And nearly every time, I regretted it. My attachment to the stock cost me additional losses that I could have avoided by being more emotionally detached.
No matter how much you love a stock, it will never love you back.
A stock also couldn’t care less about your ego and whether you’ve wrapped your personal sense of worth into its performance. The stock is cold and impersonal, and that’s exactly how we need to approach investing.
But it’s not just the stocks you buy, it’s also the stocks you don’t buy.
I admit it. I hate Facebook (FB) on a primal, visceral level.
I hate the narcissistic culture it creates and that it prioritizes superficial online “friends” over the real flesh and blood variety. If I had a time machine, I would go back and kill in the company in its infancy.
Alas, I let my hatred of the company prevent me from buying the stock — to my detriment.
So, if you take one thing from Axe, make it this: Don’t let emotion get in the way.